Former President Donald Trump is making a strong comeback in several battleground states compared to his performance in the 2020 election cycle. Despite his loss to Joe Biden last time, Trump’s polling numbers are looking promising in key swing states.
According to polling data from Project 538, Trump is currently performing better in six out of seven consensus states, including Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Georgia, Michigan, Arizona, Wisconsin, and Nevada. These states hold a total of 93 electoral college votes, with Pennsylvania being the largest prize at 19 votes.
In Michigan, for example, Vice President Kamala Harris is leading Trump by just 1.8%, a significant improvement from Biden’s nearly 8% lead at the same point in 2020. Harris’s lead is within the margin of error, making Michigan a critical state to watch in the upcoming election.
Similarly, in Arizona, Trump is polling nearly 6% higher than his 2020 average, with a current lead of almost 1% over Harris. Biden narrowly won Arizona in 2020, making it another state to closely monitor as the election approaches.
In Georgia, Trump holds a slim 0.4% lead over Harris, down from the 1.4% lead Biden had over Trump four years ago. With Georgia historically favoring Republican candidates, this state could be a key battleground in the upcoming election.
Meanwhile, in Nevada, Harris is ahead of Trump by 0.5%, a 5% decrease from Biden’s lead at the same point in 2020. Trump has been gaining momentum in Nevada, leading the polls multiple times since August.
North Carolina is also shaping up to be a closely contested state, with Trump currently holding a slim 0.3% lead over Harris. Democrats are hopeful of winning North Carolina for the first time since 2008, but Trump’s strong performance in recent polls is keeping the race competitive.
In Pennsylvania, Harris is leading Trump by 1.4%, a 3% decrease from Biden’s lead at the same point in 2020. With Pennsylvania being a crucial battleground state, both campaigns are likely to intensify their efforts to secure victory here.
Finally, in Wisconsin, Trump has narrowed Harris’s lead to just 1.6%, compared to Biden’s 6.7% lead at the same point in 2020. Trump’s gradual gains in Wisconsin make it a state to watch as the election draws nearer.
Overall, Trump’s improved polling numbers in key battleground states indicate a competitive election ahead. With the race tightening in several crucial states, both campaigns will be working hard to secure victory in November.
