Prof. Prempeh Commends Mussa Dankwah and Kwaku Antwi-Boasiako for Accurate Election Predictions
I am very pleased to see Mussa Dankwah receiving the recognition and respect he deserves as a pollster, researcher, and analyst. Leading an organization that relies on evidence and data for advocacy and policy decisions, I first became interested in Mussa’s work during a presentation he gave on the findings of his polling for the 2024 Ghana elections. His data indicated a strong lead for Mahama and the NDC over Bawumia and the NPP, particularly in key regions like Greater Accra, Central, and Western.
In August, our organization conducted the Afrobarometer Round 10 survey, which confirmed Mussa’s earlier findings. As the election drew closer, I closely followed Mussa’s regular poll updates on social media and even engaged in private conversations with him to gain further insights into his methodology. His accurate predictions, including NDC’s sweeping victory and unexpected wins in various constituencies, were truly remarkable.
Additionally, I had the privilege of learning about Kwaku Antwi-Boasiako’s analytical model for predicting election outcomes. While not a pollster like Mussa, KAB’s model utilizes a multi-variable analysis to weigh key factors influencing voter decisions. His model accurately predicted the 2020 elections and showed a similar trend for the 2024 elections, with NDC leading in most regions.
The contrasting approaches of Mussa and KAB showcase the importance of scientific methods in understanding voter behavior and election dynamics. Mussa’s granular polling provides detailed insights into voting intentions, while KAB’s analytical tool focuses on weighted factors driving election outcomes. Both Mussa and KAB’s accurate predictions highlight the value of data-driven analysis in political forecasting.
As the election results align with their predictions, it is evident that their expertise and integrity have contributed significantly to enhancing the quality of electioneering and decision-making processes. Moving forward, I hope to see more utilization of scientific methods and analysis to inform policy-making and public decision-making in Ghana.
In conclusion, I commend Mussa Dankwah and Kwaku Antwi-Boasiako for their accurate election predictions and their dedication to using evidence-based approaches in political analysis. Their success serves as a testament to the power of knowledge and data in shaping informed decision-making processes. #PowerIsNotKnowledge. Let’s continue to pay attention to data-driven insights for a better future.
