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Voters in Mozambique are facing a crucial election amidst growing discontent over state corruption and a persistent jihadi insurgency that has displaced over 1 million people and stalled a $20 billion gas project. The recent conviction of former finance minister Manuel Chang in a New York court for his involvement in the tuna bond scandal, which saw $2 billion in loans disappear, has shed light on the extent of corruption in the country.
Despite President Filipe Nyusi not being charged in the scandal, his administration has come under scrutiny, with several individuals, including Armando Ndambi Guebuza, being convicted. The ruling Frelimo party, in power since independence in 1975, is expected to maintain its stronghold in the upcoming election, thanks to its control over the electoral machinery.
However, there is a growing sentiment among the younger population that the time for liberation parties like Frelimo to relinquish power has come. South Africa’s ANC recently faced a drop in its electoral support, while Zimbabwe’s Zanu-PF and Tanzania’s Chama Cha Mapinduzi have been criticized for their authoritarian tactics.
In an effort to revamp its image, Frelimo has nominated Daniel Chapo, a former radio presenter and economic centrist, as its presidential candidate. Chapo has pledged to prioritize the eradication of terrorism in the Cabo Delgado province, a key region for Mozambique’s economic growth, particularly in the gas sector.
Despite Frelimo’s efforts, Chapo faces stiff competition from opposition parties, including Renamo and independent candidates like Venâncio Mondlane. Concerns about electoral manipulation have also been raised, following allegations of fraud in previous local elections.
Analysts warn of potential civil unrest and protests following the election, as opposition supporters have threatened to take to the streets if the vote is deemed unfair. The outcome of the election remains uncertain, with the possibility of disputes and challenges to the results.
As Mozambique prepares for a pivotal election, the country stands at a crossroads, grappling with issues of corruption, insecurity, and the need for genuine democratic change. The upcoming polls will test the resilience of Mozambique’s political landscape and its ability to address the pressing challenges facing the nation.
Additional reporting by David Pilling in London